Necaxa vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
CAZ
1 - 1
NEC
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
NEC
0 - 1
CHI
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
PUE
0 - 1
NEC
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
NEC
2 - 0
TIG
31%
28%
42%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
NEC
4 - 2
AUR
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 0
LEV
15%
20%
65%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
LEO
4 - 4
TOL
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 4
ATS
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
TOL
0 - 1
JUA
69%
19%
13%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
TIG
3 - 0
TOL
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |