Necaxa vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
43.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
JAG
2 - 2
NEC
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
NEC
1 - 1
AME
26%
25%
49%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ATS
0 - 0
NEC
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
NEC
2 - 1
SAN
37%
27%
37%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
QRO
1 - 2
NEC
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
TOL
4 - 3
LEO
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 1
LEO
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
CAZ
0 - 1
TOL
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 1
CHI
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 1
TIJ
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |