Necaxa vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
57.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
NEC
2 - 3
MER
36%
28%
37%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
TOL
4 - 2
NEC
77%
16%
7%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 1
NEC
55%
23%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
NEC
0 - 2
DOR
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
DOR
1 - 1
NEC
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 1
PUM
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
TOL
4 - 2
NEC
77%
16%
7%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
TIG
0 - 1
TOL
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
TOL
0 - 0
TIG
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
AME
3 - 1
TOL
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |