Necaxa vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
38.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
TIG
2 - 1
NEC
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
NEC
1 - 0
QRO
64%
22%
15%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
MOR
3 - 3
NEC
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
NEC
1 - 1
PAC
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
JAG
1 - 1
NEC
24%
26%
50%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
TOL
2 - 1
CHI
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2003 |
MOR
3 - 3
TOL
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
IRA
2 - 1
TOL
23%
26%
51%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
TOL
2 - 0
QRO
81%
13%
7%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
MOR
1 - 2
TOL
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |