Necaxa vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
31.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
QRO
2 - 0
NEC
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
ATL
3 - 0
NEC
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2007 |
NEC
2 - 0
ACS
53%
24%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
NEC
2 - 4
CHI
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2007 |
ALI
1 - 2
NEC
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
PUM
0 - 0
CHI
37%
27%
37%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
MON
0 - 1
PUM
53%
25%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
PUM
0 - 1
CAZ
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
PAC
0 - 0
PUM
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2007 |
PUM
2 - 1
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |