Necaxa vs Orizaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23%
1-0
16%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
UAT
0 - 0
NEC
22%
26%
53%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
NEC
0 - 0
REB
74%
18%
8%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
LEO
1 - 3
NEC
32%
26%
42%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
NEC
2 - 1
PUM
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
NEC
2 - 2
LOB
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ORI
1 - 1
DOR
30%
28%
42%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2010 |
ATL
2 - 2
ORI
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
ORI
2 - 1
CAZ
30%
28%
43%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
MER
1 - 1
ORI
67%
21%
12%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ORI
1 - 4
TIJ
27%
28%
45%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |