Necaxa vs Lobos BUAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
NEC
1 - 2
CHI
45%
26%
30%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
CAF
1 - 3
NEC
32%
29%
40%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
NEC
0 - 1
TOR
54%
26%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
TOR
3 - 0
NEC
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
UAT
3 - 3
NEC
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
PAC
1 - 0
LOB
75%
16%
8%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
LOB
1 - 0
CAÑ
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
LOB
0 - 1
TOR
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 1
LOB
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 0
LOB
55%
24%
20%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -2 |