Clausura Ascenso MX Quarter-finals
Global 2-0
Necaxa vs Lobos BUAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
11.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
LOB
0 - 0
NEC
27%
27%
47%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
NEC
1 - 1
UDG
79%
16%
6%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
IRA
0 - 1
NEC
24%
27%
49%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
NEC
3 - 2
TIJ
62%
22%
15%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
NEC
2 - 2
DOR
67%
21%
12%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
LOB
0 - 0
NEC
27%
27%
47%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
MER
2 - 0
LOB
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
LOB
0 - 3
ORI
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
UAT
1 - 2
LOB
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
LOB
2 - 1
REB
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |