Necaxa vs León analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
60.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
NEC
1 - 0
JUA
39%
29%
32%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2016 |
LEO
5 - 0
NEC
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
MER
0 - 0
NEC
45%
25%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
NEC
2 - 1
ATL
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
MUR
2 - 1
NEC
23%
26%
51%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
LEO
3 - 2
CAZ
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2016 |
LEO
5 - 0
NEC
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
VER
1 - 3
LEO
32%
26%
43%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LEO
2 - 0
SAN
50%
24%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 1
AME
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |