Necaxa vs León analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MER
2 - 0
NEC
27%
32%
42%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
DOR
1 - 1
NEC
31%
29%
40%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
NEC
2 - 1
ALT
65%
22%
13%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CAZ
2 - 1
NEC
29%
30%
41%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
NEC
1 - 1
TOR
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 0
UAT
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
MER
2 - 1
LEO
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LEO
6 - 1
DOR
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
ALT
1 - 1
LEO
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LEO
1 - 1
CAZ
68%
20%
13%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |