Necaxa vs León analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
NEC
5 - 2
TIJ
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
TIJ
0 - 0
NEC
28%
28%
44%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
NEC
2 - 0
LOB
69%
20%
11%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
LOB
0 - 0
NEC
27%
27%
47%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
NEC
1 - 1
UDG
79%
16%
6%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
LEO
5 - 0
REB
70%
18%
11%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
REB
0 - 2
LEO
28%
27%
45%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
REB
0 - 2
LEO
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
TIJ
1 - 1
LEO
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
LEO
2 - 1
PUM
52%
24%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |