Necaxa vs Irapuato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
23.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
UDG
1 - 1
NEC
28%
30%
43%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
SNL
1 - 1
NEC
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
NEC
3 - 0
JAG
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CAF
2 - 0
NEC
37%
30%
32%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
JAG
1 - 0
NEC
68%
20%
13%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
IRA
1 - 1
TOR
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
IRA
0 - 1
TOL
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
MER
1 - 1
IRA
28%
28%
44%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 2
IRA
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
IRA
2 - 2
PUM
62%
22%
15%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |