Necaxa vs Irapuato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
20.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
PUM
1 - 1
NEC
26%
30%
45%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 0
UDG
67%
22%
12%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
LOB
1 - 2
NEC
34%
29%
38%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
NEC
0 - 2
TOR
60%
24%
16%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 0
UAT
57%
25%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
IRA
1 - 2
LEO
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MER
1 - 0
IRA
34%
28%
38%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
IRA
1 - 0
DOR
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
ALT
1 - 1
IRA
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
IRA
1 - 0
CAZ
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |