Necaxa vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
GUE
0 - 0
NEC
15%
25%
60%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
NEC
1 - 0
VER
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
AME
1 - 0
NEC
45%
25%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
NEC
1 - 1
ATL
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
SNL
1 - 1
NEC
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
DUR
2 - 2
DOR
34%
28%
39%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 1
DUR
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
ORI
1 - 0
DUR
34%
29%
37%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
DUR
0 - 0
MON
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
TEC
1 - 1
DUR
29%
29%
43%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |