Clausura Ascenso MX Quarter-finals
Global 6-3
Necaxa vs Delfines analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
21.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
DEL
2 - 2
NEC
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 0
NEC
59%
24%
18%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
NEC
0 - 0
UDG
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
DEL
0 - 0
NEC
45%
27%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
NEC
1 - 1
UAT
43%
27%
31%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Delfines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
DEL
2 - 2
NEC
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
DEL
1 - 1
EST
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
AUR
2 - 2
DEL
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
DEL
0 - 0
NEC
45%
27%
27%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CAÑ
1 - 3
DEL
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |