Necaxa vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
NEC
0 - 1
DOR
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 1
NEC
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
NEC
1 - 1
MER
55%
25%
21%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
NEC
0 - 1
LEO
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
EST
1 - 1
NEC
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
CAZ
0 - 0
CAÑ
56%
22%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CAZ
2 - 0
CAÑ
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
LOB
1 - 1
CAZ
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
CAZ
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
CAZ
3 - 3
CAF
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |