Necaxa vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
MER
0 - 0
NEC
27%
27%
46%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
NEC
0 - 0
ORI
75%
18%
7%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
UAT
0 - 0
NEC
22%
26%
53%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
NEC
0 - 0
REB
74%
18%
8%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
LEO
1 - 3
NEC
32%
26%
42%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CAZ
2 - 1
DOR
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 1
CAZ
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
CAZ
1 - 2
TIJ
37%
29%
35%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2010 |
CAZ
0 - 0
MER
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
ORI
2 - 1
CAZ
30%
28%
43%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |