Necaxa U19 vs Toluca U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2023 |
TOL
1 - 0
NEX
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
TOL
1 - 0
NEX
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
NEX
2 - 0
ATL
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
NEX
0 - 1
PUE
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
NEX
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2023 |
TOL
1 - 0
NEX
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
TOL
1 - 0
NEX
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
TOL
1 - 2
JUA
67%
21%
13%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
SNT
2 - 4
TOL
44%
25%
32%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
PUM
0 - 1
TOL
28%
26%
46%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |