Necaxa Premier vs Celaya Premier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ZAM
3 - 1
NEX
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
NEX
1 - 1
REB
43%
24%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 2
NEX
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
NEX
1 - 1
CAL
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
SAH
1 - 3
NEX
38%
25%
38%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Celaya Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CEL
1 - 1
COR
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CEL
0 - 1
ZAM
30%
24%
45%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
REB
1 - 0
CEL
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CEL
2 - 0
ACA
22%
23%
55%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 1
CEL
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |