Europa League 1/64
Global 2-4
NEC Nijmegen vs Wisla Kraków analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
AZA
2 - 0
NEC
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
NEC
1 - 2
ADO
48%
25%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2003 |
WIS
2 - 1
NEC
68%
18%
14%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2003 |
VOL
2 - 3
NEC
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
NEC
2 - 1
TWE
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Wisla Kraków
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
WLO
1 - 3
WIS
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
WIS
3 - 2
DYS
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2003 |
WIS
2 - 1
NEC
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2003 |
WAR
4 - 1
WIS
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
WIS
3 - 1
PLO
71%
17%
11%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |