NEC Nijmegen vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
NEC
1 - 1
ADO
39%
24%
37%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 0
NEC
47%
25%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
NEC
0 - 4
PSV
19%
21%
61%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
AZA
2 - 0
NEC
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
NEC
2 - 1
SCH
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
AJA
5 - 0
WIL
73%
18%
9%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 1
EXC
52%
25%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
AZA
2 - 0
WIL
69%
18%
12%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 0
RJC
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 2
WIL
76%
17%
8%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +1 |