NEC Nijmegen vs Willem II analysis

NEC Nijmegen Willem II
77 ELO 75
9.4% Tilt 10.7%
181º General ELO ranking 416º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
51.3%
NEC Nijmegen
24%
Draw
24.7%
Willem II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
NEC Nijmegen
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.7%
Win probability
Willem II
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
NEC Nijmegen
-1%
-20%
Willem II

ELO progression

NEC Nijmegen
Willem II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jan. 2016
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
3 - 1
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
50%
23%
27%
77 76 1 0
20 Dec. 2015
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
3 - 1
Feyenoord
FEY
33%
25%
42%
77 82 5 0
15 Dec. 2015
HHC
HHC Hardenberg
2 - 0
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
16%
20%
64%
76 57 19 +1
12 Dec. 2015
BVO
Cambuur
3 - 1
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
27%
26%
47%
77 67 10 -1
06 Dec. 2015
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
2 - 2
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
49%
24%
27%
77 76 1 0

Matches

Willem II
Willem II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Dec. 2015
WIL
Willem II
3 - 2
Roda JC
RJC
60%
22%
19%
76 69 7 0
17 Dec. 2015
FEY
Feyenoord
2 - 1
Willem II
WIL
58%
23%
19%
75 81 6 +1
12 Dec. 2015
ADO
ADO Den Haag
1 - 1
Willem II
WIL
41%
27%
33%
75 71 4 0
06 Dec. 2015
WIL
Willem II
3 - 0
Cambuur
BVO
59%
22%
20%
75 68 7 0
28 Nov. 2015
TWE
Twente
1 - 3
Willem II
WIL
47%
26%
27%
74 74 0 +1