NEC Nijmegen vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2004 |
CAO
1 - 0
NEC
46%
26%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
NEC
0 - 0
CAO
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
ADO
4 - 1
NEC
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
NEC
1 - 1
VOL
58%
22%
19%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
VIT
2 - 2
NEC
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
WIL
5 - 0
MEE
92%
7%
2%
|
75 | 36 | 39 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
WIL
2 - 5
AJA
23%
24%
53%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
ZWO
0 - 0
WIL
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
WIL
3 - 0
RBC
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
TWE
2 - 0
WIL
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |