NEC Nijmegen vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
37.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
NAC
5 - 2
NEC
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
NEC
0 - 2
AZA
38%
25%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2004 |
TWE
2 - 5
NEC
62%
23%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
NEC
1 - 2
RBC
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
NEC
1 - 2
SCH
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
WIL
3 - 1
PSV
21%
23%
56%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
RJC
6 - 1
WIL
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
RKC
1 - 1
WIL
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
WIL
2 - 0
GRO
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
WIL
0 - 3
FEY
23%
24%
53%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |