NEC Nijmegen vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
BOS
2 - 2
NEC
28%
24%
48%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
NEC
4 - 2
TEL
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
RJC
1 - 2
NEC
26%
25%
50%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2019 |
JON
3 - 3
NEC
45%
23%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
NEC
1 - 2
EIN
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
GRA
3 - 2
JON
39%
23%
38%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
FCO
0 - 0
GRA
26%
24%
50%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
GRA
3 - 0
VOL
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
MVV
0 - 3
GRA
25%
24%
51%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
GRA
2 - 0
BVO
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |