NEC Nijmegen vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
55.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 6
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 2
NEC
70%
18%
13%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
NEC
0 - 0
BBU
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
RAY
2 - 1
NEC
69%
18%
14%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 0
NEC
44%
25%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
BUR
3 - 1
TWE
23%
24%
53%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 1
TWE
18%
23%
59%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
TWE
4 - 1
GRO
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
MBO
0 - 2
TWE
29%
24%
47%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
TWE
2 - 0
MBO
65%
20%
15%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |