NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
TEL
5 - 2
NEC
27%
24%
49%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
NEC
0 - 1
FCO
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
FCD
1 - 2
NEC
12%
19%
69%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
BOS
2 - 2
NEC
19%
22%
59%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
NEC
2 - 1
MVV
77%
16%
8%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 3
NAC
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
EXC
0 - 1
BVO
25%
23%
53%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
EXC
2 - 0
ZWO
38%
23%
39%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
JUT
3 - 2
EXC
28%
24%
48%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
EXC
2 - 3
VOL
42%
24%
35%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |