NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
AZA
1 - 1
NEC
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1999 |
NEC
1 - 0
MVV
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
NEC
1 - 0
BVO
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
FOR
2 - 2
NEC
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1999 |
NEC
0 - 1
SPA
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
EXC
1 - 0
GAE
54%
22%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
FCE
0 - 0
EXC
52%
24%
25%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
NAC
1 - 2
EXC
58%
22%
21%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
EXC
0 - 2
TEL
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 1999 |
FCO
1 - 4
EXC
32%
25%
43%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |