NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1982 |
NAC
1 - 1
NEC
56%
26%
19%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1982 |
NEC
0 - 0
HFC
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1982 |
AJA
5 - 0
NEC
91%
7%
3%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1982 |
NEC
1 - 1
GAE
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
FOR
1 - 0
NEC
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
EXC
1 - 0
PSV
15%
22%
63%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
SPA
4 - 2
EXC
78%
14%
8%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1982 |
GRO
1 - 1
EXC
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
EXC
2 - 0
NAC
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
HFC
0 - 0
EXC
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |