NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
71.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
7º
15º
12º
69
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
67 | 67 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
64 | 64 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 19 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 18 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
FCE
3 - 2
NEC
44%
24%
32%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
NEC
6 - 1
RKC
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
BVO
0 - 1
NEC
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
PSV
3 - 0
NEC
79%
14%
8%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
NEC
3 - 3
GAE
36%
28%
37%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
AJA
5 - 4
VOL
86%
10%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
AJA
0 - 2
BBU
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FCE
3 - 3
AJA
12%
19%
70%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 2
VIT
79%
13%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
AJA
1 - 2
PSV
48%
22%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |