NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
73%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
NEC
0 - 2
TWE
24%
26%
51%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
BVO
1 - 2
NEC
55%
22%
23%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
NEC
0 - 0
SPA
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
GRO
4 - 3
NEC
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
NEC
1 - 3
AZA
11%
20%
69%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
PSV
2 - 1
AJA
44%
24%
32%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 1
SPA
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
GRO
1 - 3
AJA
10%
18%
72%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
AJA
3 - 2
FEY
54%
22%
24%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
AJA
0 - 1
SLB
51%
22%
27%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |