NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
63.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
GRO
2 - 0
NEC
50%
26%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 1
NEC
60%
23%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
NEC
0 - 3
UTR
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
ADO
1 - 0
NEC
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
NEC
3 - 1
HER
42%
26%
33%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
AJA
4 - 1
AZA
64%
20%
16%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
AJA
2 - 1
FEY
52%
24%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
AJA
13%
23%
64%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
AJA
2 - 0
FCK
52%
24%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
AJA
3 - 0
TWE
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |