NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
49.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
HER
3 - 0
NEC
34%
25%
41%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
NEC
1 - 0
EXC
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
NEC
1 - 1
LEV
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
ACH
0 - 1
NEC
12%
17%
71%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
VVV
3 - 1
NEC
22%
24%
54%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 0
JAB
47%
24%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
AJA
3 - 0
WIL
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
AZA
0 - 3
AJA
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2015 |
AJA
2 - 3
RAP
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
RAP
2 - 2
AJA
32%
26%
43%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |