NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
64.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
TWE
2 - 2
NEC
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
EIN
0 - 1
NEC
34%
23%
43%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
NEC
2 - 1
SCH
24%
24%
52%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
HER
1 - 1
NEC
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
GAE
4 - 3
NEC
53%
24%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 0
CEL
60%
22%
19%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
AJA
0 - 1
VIT
67%
19%
15%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
AJA
4 - 1
ASW
85%
11%
4%
|
87 | 50 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
AJA
0 - 0
RKC
76%
16%
7%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
CEL
2 - 1
AJA
27%
23%
50%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | -1 |