NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
62%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
NEC
0 - 0
SPA
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
NEC
2 - 2
NAC
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2005 |
HER
0 - 2
NEC
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
NEC
3 - 1
RBC
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
AZA
3 - 2
NEC
76%
16%
9%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2005 |
THU
2 - 4
AJA
34%
25%
40%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2005 |
AJA
0 - 0
SCH
67%
20%
14%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
PSV
1 - 0
AJA
49%
24%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
AJA
2 - 0
THU
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
AJA
0 - 0
HER
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | -1 |