NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
NEC
1 - 0
GRO
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
TWE
1 - 1
NEC
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
NEC
1 - 1
AZA
32%
25%
43%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2001 |
NEC
0 - 3
SPA
59%
23%
19%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
UTR
1 - 1
NEC
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
AJA
9 - 0
SPA
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
GRO
3 - 3
AJA
27%
24%
49%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
RBC
1 - 3
AJA
11%
18%
71%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
AJA
2 - 0
UTR
76%
14%
10%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2001 |
FOR
0 - 3
AJA
15%
20%
65%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |