NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
57.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
NEC
1 - 1
MVV
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
NEC
0 - 0
ZWO
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
NAC
2 - 2
NEC
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
NEC
0 - 0
TWE
24%
28%
48%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1978 |
VOL
0 - 0
NEC
52%
25%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1978 |
AJA
1 - 0
LAU
82%
12%
6%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
AJA
4 - 0
VIT
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
MVV
1 - 0
AJA
20%
25%
56%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
AJA
3 - 0
ATH
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
AJA
4 - 0
VVV
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |