NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
50.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1976 |
PSV
1 - 0
NEC
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1976 |
NEC
1 - 4
PSV
20%
25%
55%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
TEL
1 - 1
NEC
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
NEC
0 - 0
TWE
26%
29%
45%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
NEC
1 - 1
FEY
19%
23%
58%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1976 |
AJA
5 - 0
NAC
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1976 |
NAC
0 - 0
AJA
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
AJA
4 - 1
GAE
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
FEY
4 - 1
AJA
60%
21%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
AJA
1 - 3
PSV
57%
21%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |