NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
55.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1968 |
NEC
0 - 1
GRO
57%
21%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
SPA
1 - 0
NEC
65%
19%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
NEC
0 - 0
XER
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
PSV
1 - 0
NEC
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
NEC
1 - 1
TWE
60%
22%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1968 |
AJA
3 - 0
SPA
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
XER
0 - 1
AJA
21%
21%
59%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
AJA
4 - 0
PSV
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
AJA
1 - 0
FEY
63%
19%
18%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
TWE
1 - 1
AJA
24%
21%
55%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |