NEC Nijmegen U21 vs Willem II U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
23.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+101%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
8º
5º
12
5º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CAM
3 - 0
NEC
33%
22%
46%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
NEC
2 - 1
DBS
64%
18%
18%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
NEC
3 - 4
NAC
34%
23%
43%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
THS
2 - 0
NEC
66%
18%
16%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
NEC
5 - 0
VVV
57%
21%
22%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
WIL
2 - 3
VIT
35%
23%
43%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ACY
5 - 2
WIL
65%
18%
17%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 1
PEC
12%
18%
70%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
WIL
0 - 2
FYN
14%
19%
67%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
GRO
2 - 0
WIL
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |