NEC Nijmegen U21 vs FC Emmen U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
18.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
8º
5º
14
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NEC
1 - 0
HER
39%
23%
39%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
GAE
2 - 0
NEC
62%
21%
18%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NEC
0 - 1
VIT
47%
21%
32%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ROD
5 - 1
NEC
47%
22%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
NEC
1 - 1
GAE
33%
23%
44%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Emmen U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
WIL
0 - 0
EMM
49%
22%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
EMM
0 - 2
HER
45%
21%
34%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 2
EMM
62%
19%
19%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
ROD
2 - 2
EMM
68%
17%
15%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
EMM
2 - 2
WIL
53%
20%
27%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |