NEC Nijmegen U18 vs Excelsior U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
39.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
7º
5º
30
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
30 | 30 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
19 | 19 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 0 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NEC
1 - 1
FDB
17%
18%
65%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
VOL
0 - 3
NEC
50%
20%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
NEC
3 - 0
APB
33%
21%
46%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NEC
4 - 3
AFC
69%
16%
15%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
WIL
3 - 1
NEC
43%
21%
36%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 2
EXC
12%
16%
72%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
EXC
3 - 1
WIL
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAM
3 - 2
EXC
78%
13%
9%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
APB
2 - 4
EXC
53%
20%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
EXC
1 - 5
FDB
31%
21%
48%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |