Neath Athletic vs Croesyceiliog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
6.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neath Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
NEA
3 - 1
DIN
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
MAE
2 - 1
NEA
23%
24%
54%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
BRY
1 - 2
NEA
20%
22%
59%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
BAR
2 - 4
NEA
12%
19%
69%
|
54 | 24 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
TAF
3 - 1
NEA
14%
21%
65%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Croesyceiliog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
TON
0 - 1
CRO
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
CRO
1 - 2
ERA
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
CRO
2 - 1
GOY
20%
24%
56%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +3 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
CRO
0 - 2
PON
26%
24%
50%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
BAR
0 - 2
CRO
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +2 |