Neath Athletic vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neath Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2010 |
ABE
1 - 1
NEA
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
NEA
3 - 2
POR
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2009 |
POR
2 - 0
NEA
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
NEA
0 - 0
AIR
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 1
NEA
48%
24%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2010 |
CEF
0 - 2
NEW
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2010 |
BAN
3 - 1
CEF
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
AIR
1 - 1
CEF
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
CEF
0 - 1
CAR
22%
24%
55%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
PRE
2 - 0
CEF
72%
17%
12%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |