ND Dravinja Kostroj vs Zavrč analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
54%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
6º
1º
36
1º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
93.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
48% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 40 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 36 |
11º
|
78.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
12º
|
98% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
83.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
93% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
7% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Dravinja Kostroj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
CEL
5 - 0
TOL
82%
13%
5%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
POD
2 - 0
TOL
16%
21%
64%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TOL
3 - 1
RAC
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
TOL
6 - 0
NKZ
82%
12%
6%
|
48 | 9 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
TOL
4 - 2
CEL
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Zavrč
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ZAV
1 - 1
DRA
72%
17%
11%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
DRA
1 - 4
ZAV
8%
14%
78%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
NKM
1 - 6
ZAV
2%
7%
91%
|
52 | 12 | 40 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ZAV
2 - 3
NKP
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SMA
0 - 3
ZAV
10%
16%
74%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |