ND Dravinja Kostroj vs Triglav Kranj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
43.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
4º
15º
7º
63
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Dravinja Kostroj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
RUD
1 - 2
TOL
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 2
BRI
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 0
TOL
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 3
GOR
22%
26%
52%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ILI
0 - 1
TOL
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Triglav Kranj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
TRI
1 - 0
DEK
65%
21%
15%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
BEL
4 - 0
TRI
41%
23%
36%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 0
TRI
22%
25%
54%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
TRI
3 - 0
KRK
59%
22%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BIL
0 - 4
TRI
29%
26%
45%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |