ND Dravinja Kostroj vs Aluminij analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
53.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Dravinja Kostroj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2002 |
TOL
1 - 1
NKN
51%
25%
25%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
ZEL
0 - 1
TOL
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
TOL
3 - 1
TRI
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
BEL
0 - 0
TOL
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2002 |
TOL
1 - 0
DEK
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2002 |
ALU
3 - 0
IVA
66%
19%
15%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
NKN
0 - 2
ALU
30%
26%
44%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2002 |
ALU
1 - 2
GOR
32%
25%
43%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
ALU
1 - 2
BRD
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2002 |
GOR
4 - 0
ALU
59%
21%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |