NC State vs Wake Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
73.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NC State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
NDF
1 - 0
NCS
56%
21%
24%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
NCS
0 - 2
CET
12%
17%
71%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
BCE
0 - 0
NCS
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
NCS
0 - 0
DBD
18%
19%
64%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
NCS
2 - 1
SYO
35%
22%
43%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Wake Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
WKD
3 - 1
PIP
36%
22%
42%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
LOC
3 - 0
WKD
33%
22%
44%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
WKD
1 - 2
NCA
53%
21%
26%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
WKD
2 - 1
KTW
64%
19%
18%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
WKD
3 - 2
COC
67%
18%
16%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |