NC State vs Duke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
63.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NC State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
NCS
2 - 1
SYO
35%
22%
43%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CET
1 - 0
NCS
86%
10%
4%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
WKD
0 - 0
NCS
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
LOC
3 - 0
NCS
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2019 |
NCS
2 - 3
COC
24%
21%
56%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Duke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
VIC
1 - 3
DBD
67%
18%
16%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
DBD
3 - 4
PIP
38%
22%
40%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
DBD
0 - 2
NDF
75%
14%
10%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
VTH
2 - 4
DBD
44%
22%
34%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |