Naxxar Lions FC vs Marsaxlokk FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naxxar Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
MOS
2 - 1
NAX
43%
24%
34%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
MEL
0 - 1
NAX
36%
25%
39%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
BAL
1 - 1
NAX
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
GZI
0 - 2
NAX
47%
26%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
NAX
2 - 0
MEL
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
MAR
0 - 2
SLI
51%
24%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
MAR
0 - 1
HAM
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
BIR
1 - 1
MAR
43%
28%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 1
SLI
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
FLO
2 - 1
MAR
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |